Russia Heat Pump Market Overview, 2029

Russia's heat pump market is projected to add more than USD 500 million by 2024–2029, driven by the modernization of infrastructure and increasing awareness of energy conservation.

The heat pump market is at the key stage of transformation in Russia because several factors are merged to redefine the new approach of the country regarding heating and cooling solutions. One of the reasons for such a change is the development of heat pump technologies that manufacturers have been introducing in recent years. The new systems are designed to work efficiently in different regions of the country with varying climatic conditions. For example, modern ground source heat pumps are currently being designed to operate in the coldest parts of the country, where frost penetrates deep into the soil. These systems will make it possible to save energy when it is really cold outside. Policy and initiatives taken by the government further encourage market growth and increase the adoption of heat pump technologies. The measures set in the Energy Strategy by the Russian state until 2035 set ambitious goals for increasing energy efficiency and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. This gives a strategic basis for the development of the heat pump industry. Moreover, generous subsidy programs and various financial support measures for energy-efficient technologies boost demand in the market. For example, government support measures in the form of subsidies on investment costs or fiscal incentives may be granted to homeowners and businesses that install heat pump systems to make such systems more widely available and lower the investment costEurope faces off against Russia over Vladimir Putin’s war of aggression in Ukraine, the lowly, unloved heat pump has become a crucial tool in Europe’s all-hands-on-deck effort to cut its dependency on Russian gas. The logic is that a campaign to switch European homes to heat pumps would be more effective in the longer term than simply asking citizens to turn down their thermostats, and work faster than building more infrastructure to import natural gas from abroad, while also helping to speed the bloc’s progress on its climate goals. The E.U. relies on Russia for more than 40% of its natural gas, essential for fueling gas boilers that heat homes. That dependence has propped up Russia’s economy for decades, and also serves as Putin’s geopolitical ace in the hole—if Russia turns off the gas taps going into next winter, heating shortages could roll across the continent.

According to the research report "Russia Heat Pump Market Overview, 2029," published by Bonafide Research, the Russia heat pump market is anticipated to add to more than USD 500 Million by 2024–29. Innovation and technological growth in heat pump applications are stimulated by government support measures in the form of grants for research and development and provide, therefore a solid basis on which development shall be made by industry players. Therefore, market entry strategies are about the development of local partners and the utilization of local human and network resources and, at the same time, full respect for the details of the authorization process and certification. A thorough service and maintenance network is required, to ensure that systems offer the highest possible level of performance, customers receive good service, and that avenues are created for service providers. Smart technology following home automation fulfills the dual purpose of increased efficiency and a superior user experience for companies, accordingly steering the tastes of the changing consumers. Industry association not only provides networking but acces to the insight of market behaviour, whereas campaigns through the public are under the category of possible engagement opportunities for advocacy campaigns. A communication campaign is necessary to deconstruct myths and increase the acceptance of heat pump technology in the market landscape. Therefore regulation compliance will be a proof of the industry's responsibility for the environment and what will further push the horizons to create a squeaky clean alternative and, therefore, create the market. Renovating Europe's least energy-efficient buildings and switching their heating systems to heat pumps could aid that goal by cutting annual EU gas demand by about 70 billion cubic metres (bcm), consultancy Guidehouse said in a report which was backed by insulation firm Rockwool where it equivalent to around 45% of the 155 bcm of gas Europe receives annually from Russia..

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Air-to-air heat pumps are popular among regions where winters are milder due to their ease of installation and energy efficiency. Although efficient, their effectiveness decreases in extremely cold temperatures and reduces the applicability in these regions. Air-to-water is another solution; it can easily be adapted into any existing hydronic heating system. Its uses will be limited in exceedingly cold regions, but these two challenges can be overcome by combining the solution with another heating source. Water source heat pumps are installed in larger commercial and industrial projects, where the availability of water resources and suitability of the climate allow for their application. They provide efficient heating and cooling for large buildings and facilities. Ground source heat pumps, in turn, are best used in Russia because of their colder climate in providing consistent performance and high energy efficiency. Although their installation be complex and expensive, they will provide dependable heating both in the residential and commercial sectors of the economy. Hybrid heat pumps are gaining popularity in Russia because of their potential for flexible and effective solutions in heating, serviceable under a variety of climate conditions. The combination of technologies or their integration with other heating sources in one hybrid heat pump allows these systems to cater to prevailing conditions of a particular application for high performance with respect to energy efficiency. Large-scale programs for housing renovation as a means of improving living conditions and energy savings create new opportunities for the integration of heat pumps and market development. The Russian heat pump manufacturers can also concern themselves with export to neighboring countries with similar climatic conditions, which drives growth within the domestic heat pump industry. As for the remote and off-grid communities in the country, heat pumps can represent an attractive solution for space heating needs, reducing energy costs and enhancing energy security, especially when combined with renewable energy sources.

The heat pump market in Russia consists of devices with capacities both for a residential segment and for huge industrial purposes. Easily, these heat pumps are utilized much in capacities up to 10 kW and adapted mostly for small private residential and multifamily houses. As a rule, these units are designed to perform effectively in the diverse and radical climatic conditions of the Russian Federation, providing solutions both for heating and cooling needs. They are especially popular where energy efficiency in the environment is significant, and the reduction of use in traditional heating resources is high, like wood stoves and electric radiators. In the Russian Federation, heat pumps with small capacity have already got into a vast number of people using them in their homes. The government of Russia has proposed policies where people will be required to give their percentage of energy efficiency and taken into consideration. Heat pumps between 20 and 30 kW are designed for larger commercial buildings, including office and school infrastructures but small industrial facilities. Such units can be used to satisfy large heating and cooling loads and thus would apply to buildings with significant energy needs. It is very often part of a renovation that meets energy efficiency requirements and other goals for commercial and institutional buildings, where heating cost reduction and promoting energy performance top the list. Individual commercial and institutional renovation projects also lead to the application of such systems in larger residential buildings and community heating schemes because of the centralized heating solutions, cost-effectiveness, and energy efficiency.. Over 30 kW, these high-capacity systems serve the largest commercial and industrial installations. They are crucial for infrastructures with high heating and cooling loads, such as hospitals, large office buildings, factories, and district heating systems. Only high-efficiency and reliable heat pumps are provided, capable even in severe climatic conditions typical for Russia. These systems can work efficiently at providing high-temperature outputs for industrial needs, as well as at the production of hot water in large amounts.

The residential sector is a very important market for heat pump technology in Russia, especially in regions with less severe climatic conditions. Air-to-air and air-to-water heat pumps for space heating and hot water supply are gaining popularity in single-family houses and apartments. A number of international brands, such as Daikin, Mitsubishi Electric, and NIBE, and local manufacturers operating in this segment include Ventsmart and Teplover. Some parts of Russia can face bitterly cold winter conditions, which be prohibitive to the normal functioning of heat pumps with regular efficiency grades. Commercial sector uses heat pump technology to grow in the commercial sector, including office buildings, retail spaces, and hospitality establishments in Russia. Commercial applications for space heating, cooling, and hot water production are served by air-to-water and water source heat pumpsThe energy efficiency and ecological qualities of heat pumps dovetail with the objectives of the many commercial enterprises that are pursuing sustainable goals, and heat pumps find a strong market in new building and retrofit projects, particularly in urban settings. The industrial sector in Russia is examining the possibilities on how best to use heat pump technology for different process heating and cooling needs. Industrial ground source and water source heat pumps are well-suited to industrial facilities in which the use of renewable energy sources results in efficient and sustainable heating and cooling. The focus of the industrial sector on issues of energy efficiency, cost savings, and environmental friendliness has entailed the implementation of heat pumps in many production processes and industrial complexes, especially in the segments related to the consumption of significant amounts of energy.
Considered in this report
• Historic year: 2018
• Base year: 2023
• Estimated year: 2024
• Forecast year: 2029

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Manmayi Raval

Manmayi Raval

Research Consultant



Aspects covered in this report
• Heat Pump market Outlook with its value and forecast along with its segments
• Various drivers and challenges
• On-going trends and developments
• Top profiled companies
• Strategic recommendation

By Type
• Air-to-Air Heat Pump
• Air-to-Water Heat Pump
• Water Source Heat Pump
• Ground Source Heat Pump
• Hybrid Heat Pump

By Capacity
• Up to 10 kW
• 10–20 kW
• 20–30 kW
• Above 30 kW

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Manmayi Raval


By End User
• Residential
• Commercial
• Industrial

The approach of the report:
This report consists of a combined approach of primary and secondary research. Initially, secondary research was used to get an understanding of the market and list the companies that are present in it. The secondary research consists of third-party sources such as press releases, annual reports of companies, and government-generated reports and databases. After gathering the data from secondary sources, primary research was conducted by conducting telephone interviews with the leading players about how the market is functioning and then conducting trade calls with dealers and distributors of the market. Post this; we have started making primary calls to consumers by equally segmenting them in regional aspects, tier aspects, age group, and gender. Once we have primary data with us, we can start verifying the details obtained from secondary sources.

Intended audience
This report can be useful to industry consultants, manufacturers, suppliers, associations, and organizations related to the Heat Pump industry, government bodies, and other stakeholders to align their market-centric strategies. In addition to marketing and presentations, it will also increase competitive knowledge about the industry.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Executive Summary
  • 2. Market Structure
  • 2.1. Market Considerate
  • 2.2. Assumptions
  • 2.3. Limitations
  • 2.4. Abbreviations
  • 2.5. Sources
  • 2.6. Definitions
  • 2.7. Geography
  • 3. Research Methodology
  • 3.1. Secondary Research
  • 3.2. Primary Data Collection
  • 3.3. Market Formation & Validation
  • 3.4. Report Writing, Quality Check & Delivery
  • 4. Russia Macro Economic Indicators
  • 5. Market Dynamics
  • 5.1. Market Drivers & Opportunities
  • 5.2. Market Restraints & Challenges
  • 5.3. Market Trends
  • 5.3.1. XXXX
  • 5.3.2. XXXX
  • 5.3.3. XXXX
  • 5.3.4. XXXX
  • 5.3.5. XXXX
  • 5.4. Covid-19 Effect
  • 5.5. Supply chain Analysis
  • 5.6. Policy & Regulatory Framework
  • 5.7. Industry Experts Views
  • 6. Russia Heat Pump Market Overview
  • 6.1. Market Size By Value
  • 6.2. Market Size and Forecast, By Type
  • 6.3. Market Size and Forecast, By Capacity
  • 6.4. Market Size and Forecast, By End User
  • 7. Russia Heat Pump Market Segmentations
  • 7.1. Russia Heat Pump Market, By Type
  • 7.1.1. Russia Heat Pump Market Size, By Air-to-Air Heat Pump, 2018-2029
  • 7.1.2. Russia Heat Pump Market Size, By Air-to-Water Heat Pump, 2018-2029
  • 7.1.3. Russia Heat Pump Market Size, By Water Source Heat Pump, 2018-2029
  • 7.1.4. Russia Heat Pump Market Size, By Ground Source Heat Pump, 2018-2029
  • 7.1.5. Russia Heat Pump Market Size, By Hybrid Heat Pump, 2018-2029
  • 7.2. Russia Heat Pump Market, By Capacity
  • 7.2.1. Russia Heat Pump Market Size, By Up to 10 kW, 2018-2029
  • 7.2.2. Russia Heat Pump Market Size, By 10–20 kW, 2018-2029
  • 7.2.3. Russia Heat Pump Market Size, By 20–30 kW, 2018-2029
  • 7.2.4. Russia Heat Pump Market Size, By Above 30 kW, 2018-2029
  • 7.3. Russia Heat Pump Market, By End User
  • 7.3.1. Russia Heat Pump Market Size, By Residential, 2018-2029
  • 7.3.2. Russia Heat Pump Market Size, By Commercial, 2018-2029
  • 7.3.3. Russia Heat Pump Market Size, By Industrial, 2018-2029
  • 8. Russia Heat Pump Market Opportunity Assessment
  • 8.1. By Type, 2024 to 2029
  • 8.2. By Capacity, 2024 to 2029
  • 8.3. By End User, 2024 to 2029
  • 9. Competitive Landscape
  • 9.1. Porter's Five Forces
  • 9.2. Company Profile
  • 9.2.1. Company 1
  • 9.2.1.1. Company Snapshot
  • 9.2.1.2. Company Overview
  • 9.2.1.3. Financial Highlights
  • 9.2.1.4. Geographic Insights
  • 9.2.1.5. Business Segment & Performance
  • 9.2.1.6. Product Portfolio
  • 9.2.1.7. Key Executives
  • 9.2.1.8. Strategic Moves & Developments
  • 9.2.2. Company 2
  • 9.2.3. Company 3
  • 9.2.4. Company 4
  • 9.2.5. Company 5
  • 9.2.6. Company 6
  • 9.2.7. Company 7
  • 9.2.8. Company 8
  • 10. Strategic Recommendations
  • 11. Disclaimer

Table 1: Influencing Factors for Heat Pump Market, 2023
Table 2: Russia Heat Pump Market Size and Forecast, By Type (2018 to 2029F) (In USD Million)
Table 3: Russia Heat Pump Market Size and Forecast, By Capacity (2018 to 2029F) (In USD Million)
Table 4: Russia Heat Pump Market Size and Forecast, By End User (2018 to 2029F) (In USD Million)
Table 5: Russia Heat Pump Market Size of Air-to-Air Heat Pump (2018 to 2029) in USD Million
Table 6: Russia Heat Pump Market Size of Air-to-Water Heat Pump (2018 to 2029) in USD Million
Table 7: Russia Heat Pump Market Size of Water Source Heat Pump (2018 to 2029) in USD Million
Table 8: Russia Heat Pump Market Size of Ground Source Heat Pump (2018 to 2029) in USD Million
Table 9: Russia Heat Pump Market Size of Hybrid Heat Pump (2018 to 2029) in USD Million
Table 10: Russia Heat Pump Market Size of Up to 10 kW (2018 to 2029) in USD Million
Table 11: Russia Heat Pump Market Size of 10–20 kW (2018 to 2029) in USD Million
Table 12: Russia Heat Pump Market Size of 20–30 kW (2018 to 2029) in USD Million
Table 13: Russia Heat Pump Market Size of Above 30 kW (2018 to 2029) in USD Million
Table 14: Russia Heat Pump Market Size of Residential (2018 to 2029) in USD Million
Table 15: Russia Heat Pump Market Size of Commercial (2018 to 2029) in USD Million
Table 16: Russia Heat Pump Market Size of Industrial (2018 to 2029) in USD Million

Figure 1: Russia Heat Pump Market Size By Value (2018, 2023 & 2029F) (in USD Million)
Figure 2: Market Attractiveness Index, By Type
Figure 3: Market Attractiveness Index, By Capacity
Figure 4: Market Attractiveness Index, By End User
Figure 5: Porter's Five Forces of Russia Heat Pump Market
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Russia Heat Pump Market Overview, 2029

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